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Image bar, what are the chances
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davis_b_1



Joined: 04 Feb 2006
Posts: 1536
Location: On www.bogley.com

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 6:04 pm    Post subject: Image bar, what are the chances  

This one scared me a little, what are the chances?
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tanya



Joined: 18 Oct 2005
Posts: 5818
Location: Las Vegas

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 6:13 pm    Post subject:  

We need more Sombeech Photos for the ladies! :nod:
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Sombeech



Joined: 09 Dec 2004
Posts: 12603
Location: The Rubbish Bin

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 6:25 pm    Post subject:  

What?????? :eek2: :eek2: :eek2: :eek2:

Do you know how many times I've refreshed, trying to get the 5 for 5??? I can't believe you got it.

You didn't photoshop that, did you?

Seriously, I'll try every time I log on, and I log on a lot. :haha:

Unbelievable. I guess that means I'll stop putting my photos up there. (don't worry, I stopped a little while ago already)
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stefan



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 4652
Location: somewhere

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 6:29 pm    Post subject:  

so if this were the sasqueech slots o' fun, what would he win?
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Sombeech



Joined: 09 Dec 2004
Posts: 12603
Location: The Rubbish Bin

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 6:33 pm    Post subject:  

dude, you had to photoshop that. There are maybe 8 pics of me up there, atleast 1 per frame.

@50 in each frame, and let's say 1.5 per 50. Multiply that ratio by 5 for each frame.

What' are the odds? 1.5 X 50 X 5 = 375 to 1 (did I do that right?)
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Sombeech



Joined: 09 Dec 2004
Posts: 12603
Location: The Rubbish Bin

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 6:35 pm    Post subject:  

stefan wrote: so if this were the sasqueech slots o' fun, what would he win?

I've actually thought of putting U U T A H - one letter in each frame. And whoever got it would win a prize.

But there would be photoshoppers out there. Is there a fool proof method? cuz I think that would be a cool game.
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davis_b_1



Joined: 04 Feb 2006
Posts: 1536
Location: On www.bogley.com

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 7:08 pm    Post subject:  

No, I didn't photshop it, I don't know enough about computers, or have the time to do that anyway :naughty:
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Alex



Joined: 27 Sep 2005
Posts: 2552
Location: SLC, UT

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 8:26 pm    Post subject:  

Sombeech wrote:

Seriously, I'll try every time I log on, and I log on a lot. :haha:


Dude, you mean to tell us you actually log off or close your browser??? That's just not right....

Regarding a game, that sounds fun, don't make a prize too big (like a special title or something). This crowd is pretty honest and not too computer savvy to go to that extent.
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Sombeech



Joined: 09 Dec 2004
Posts: 12603
Location: The Rubbish Bin

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 8:41 pm    Post subject:  

Kazak wrote: Regarding a game, that sounds fun, don't make a prize too big (like a special title or something). This crowd is pretty honest and not too computer savvy to go to that extent.

Yeah, I think I'll do it. Thanks for the suggestion of special title. I think that will work.
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Cirrus2000



Joined: 26 Mar 2006
Posts: 1341

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 9:47 pm    Post subject:  

Sombeech wrote: dude, you had to photoshop that. There are maybe 8 pics of me up there, atleast 1 per frame.

@50 in each frame, and let's say 1.5 per 50. Multiply that ratio by 5 for each frame.

What' are the odds? 1.5 X 50 X 5 = 375 to 1 (did I do that right?)

Actually it more like (1.5/50)^5 or Odds of 33.3 to 1 against, to the 5th power. You don't just multiply the odds by five, you multiply it by itself five times.

(Although, if I were really paying attention, I'd probably dispute that there are only 8 pics of Sombeech up there... Seems like you usually pull up at least one every time. The odds are that I should only see one picture of Sombeech every 6.25 reloads. Aren't numbers fun!)

All of which makes the odds over 41,000,000 to one against getting all Sombeeches in a row...

More accurately, if there are 5 banks of 50, and two have one Sombeech, and three have 2 Sombeeches (for a total of 8) the odds would be 0.02 X 0.02 X 0.04 X 0.04 X 0.04 which equals 0.0000000256 = 0.00000256% = 1 in 39,062,500

Either way, davis_b_1 rocks!

Wow, I'm such a geek. :blahblah:
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Sombeech



Joined: 09 Dec 2004
Posts: 12603
Location: The Rubbish Bin

Posted: Wed Oct 25, 2006 9:58 pm    Post subject:  

Cirrus2000 wrote: (Although, if I were really paying attention, I'd probably dispute that there are only 8 pics of Sombeech up there...

:lol8:

Either way, I think you've corrected me on my statistics formula. You magnificent bastard!

I blame my Stats teacher for that. He was from Africa, had a VERY strong accent. Got a C-, barely passed.
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stefan



Joined: 09 Jan 2006
Posts: 4652
Location: somewhere

Posted: Thu Oct 26, 2006 4:29 am    Post subject:  

Sombeech wrote: stefan wrote: so if this were the sasqueech slots o' fun, what would he win?

I've actually thought of putting U U T A H - one letter in each frame. And whoever got it would win a prize.

But there would be photoshoppers out there. Is there a fool proof method? cuz I think that would be a cool game.


well the thing is that the odds of it happening can be somewhat good considering that so many people are refreshing the page so frequently, but what IS probably freaky are the odds of someone paying attention and realizing how freaky it is that they hit the sasqueech jackpot


as far as the photoshopping thing? well, i don't precisely know. you would need to embed each image with a watermark stamp or something that would allow you to show that all of these images showed up at the same time and not pieced from different times. otherwise, pixel-for-pixel, i don't see how you could possibly determine that it wasn't photoshopped. [any experts out there?] and to do such watermarking likely would seem like a waste of time for the effort it would take. i dunno, but it's a neat idea nonetheless. and you could be like vegas, and really suppress the odds of uutah showing up.
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Iceaxe



Joined: 07 Mar 2005
Posts: 7793
Location: Local Bordello

Posted: Thu Oct 26, 2006 7:16 am    Post subject:  

!!! Yahtzee !!!
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LJ



Joined: 06 Dec 2005
Posts: 274
Location: Springdale, Utah! (soon to be The Grand Canyon!)

Posted: Thu Oct 26, 2006 8:10 am    Post subject:  

:nod: I think it's a great idea - we are all honest, right guys? :2thumbs:
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rockgremlin



Joined: 09 Dec 2004
Posts: 4058
Location: Hotel California

Posted: Thu Oct 26, 2006 8:13 am    Post subject:  

I think you should do that U - U - T - A - H slot machine game. That's sheer brilliance!! :2thumbs:
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